Nicolas Batum as a passer: a rousing success
With the Blazers breaking in a scoring rookie point guard and jettisoning their best ballhandlers at the wing position over the offseason (Gerald Wallace and Jamal Crawford), Nicolas Batum figured to take on more responsibility this season beyond being just a spot-up shooter. More than affecting just this Blazer season, how he handled this additional responsibility figured to significantly affect his projection going forward. How are early returns?
This is essentially what folks would have projected coming into the season. His assists are up, but also at the cost of considerably more turnovers. It’s decent, you might say, but not an ideal arrangement. We’d be better off using a more naturally careful playmaker. But the news after this is all good. Here is how Nic is getting his assists:
That’s a great percentage of passes leading to at-rim buckets, particularly considering the Blazers are now more than ever “a nice little jump shooting team.” For comparison let’s look at him against the distribution maestro of the Blazers:
So despite generally having the ball in his hands less, and throwing less low-risk “swing around the perimeter” passes for relatively low risk but low value jump-shot assists, Batum is able to get more at-rim assists than Lillard. This generally matches my eye test, where Batum tends come off the pick and roll either looking to shoot or to find a cutter under the basket. League-wide, the stats also support that he finds easy buckets for his teammates at a high level. Here are the leaders among Hoopdata classified swingmen in at-rim assists this season:
Although there are a huge number of moving parts in analyzing the relative value of a player’s passing as you can analyze ATO, A/36, AR, AST% and then throw the shot locations data at it, this snapshot shows that Batum has clearly arrived in gaining high- quality looks for his teammates. He’s not a point forward, but his passing out of the pick and roll is highly productive. Additionally, his ATO of 1.74 is actually better than the average “swingman” per HoopData, and that’s despite making all those risky passes and using more than his share of possessions.
This year Nicolas Batum has made real strides, despite his scoring numbers staying relatively the same. Coming into the season his selling points were that he’s a player who scores efficiently in the most productive areas on the court: behind the arc and at the cup. He’s retained those skills, but in addition to that he can now get his teammates the most efficient shot on the court with regularity that matches the best wing facilitators in the NBA.





Sweet stuff
Very nice. I like almost every player on that 'good assists' list too. Hinrich as a swingman is weird though....
I would go as far as calling him a point forward now, among big minute players he's in that Evan Turner, AK47, Crash tier....all those guys are playing some type of point wing role this year. Given that it's Nic's first year playing the role of facilitator like this, I'll give him some slack on the TOs. They should come down somewhat as he understands what works and what doesn't.
Even given all that goodness, I still would love us to bring in a 2 guard who can handle the ball and pass some. Being a great passer like Iggy or Roy isn't necessary now that we know Lillard can be a floor general type PG and Batum has shown the facilitating spark but....an SG who can handle the ball, draw fouls, make the three (doesn't need to be at the rate/volume of Nic or Lillard) and defend. Wes still only really does 1.5 of those things. I know a guy who would be PERFECT though.
@TiMB Yeah Hinrich has been playing a lot of point. Pretty interesting on the high assists dudes, only Redick can like Batum. He's a pretty unique player at this point.
@christopher_m Yeah, add in the defense (particularly shot-blocking) and it's hard to find anyone comparable. Durant obviously does everything he does and adds being the best scorer in the world to it but Nico's one of the best swiss army types in the league nowadays.
@christopher_m Only say that cos Durant's 2pt FG assists have been stagnant his whole career but the 3pt assists have skyrocketed the past two seasons. Wonder if it's just him getting a drive and kick to the corner game.
@christopher_m a combo would be rad, too.
@christopher_m Well fuck him then! : P
I'd love to see a bombo of at rim and corner three assists. Make some kinda assist quality metric.
@TiMB Durant only gets 1.4 at rim assists/40!
@TiMB only redick can shoot like Batum.