2/22/13 DE: Prognastisnaking the Oscars
And now! Back by popular demand! (ok it was one person but whatever) The Predict the Oscars Competition!
First, a quick rundown. I didn’t watch most of the Oscar movies. I’ve seen Django Unchained and Silver Linings Playbook. That’s it. So my information is gonna be pretty scarce. Which means lots of guessing. Which also means that when Jake copies my answers, he’s probably gonna be wrong a lot.
As for my year in movies, I think the best movie I saw in the theater (that wasn’t the Raiders of the Lost Ark re-release) was either Looper or Prometheus. Django Unchained and Skyfall are very close to the top though. And I really really enjoyed Silver Linings Playbook. Truth is, I haven’t been to nearly as many movies as I usually go to this year. Not having income plus movies being ridiculously expensive has meant a lot of cutbacks. There were others I enjoyed, such as The Raid: Redemption which was one of the best action movies I’ve seen in a long long time, but the ones I mention are the ones that really stand out.
Despite my lack of movie-going, however, I have kept up on the news somewhat so I have a vague idea of what’s going on. Like, I know that Les Mis was a lot of closeups and good singing (except for Russel Crowe). And I know that Amour sorta makes you want to slit your wrists or something. So, here’s some predictions:
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway. I remember when I saw the trailer for Les Mis. I said to myself: my girlfriend Anne Hathaway is going to win an Oscar. And it looks like I will be right. She really doesn’t seem to have any serious competition here.
Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro. This one is a tough call. Tommy Lee Jones and Christoph Waltz are both strong contenders. I’m going with De Niro because it’s been a long time since he won one and SLP is his best work in a very long time. It’s a good movie with strong acting all around and De Niro really came through.
Best Director: Ang Lee. This is another toss up. The director of my Best Picture choice isn’t nominated, so I have to pick someone else. I’m going with Ang Lee because it seems like Life of Pi is more a directorial achievement than a really good movie (I haven’t seen it). I could easily see this award going to Spielberg though.
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence. She was really great in Silver Linings Playbook So good, in fact, that it makes her being in Hunger Games even more regrettable. HG : JLaw :: Phantom Menace : Natalie Portman. That’s the scenario there. Anyway, JLaw has all the momentum. It seemed like there would be a good race with Jessica Chastain for Zero Dark Thirty but it really hasn’t materialized as JLaw has cleaned up awards shows so far. That run continues Sunday for the former “The Bill Engvall Show” actress.
Best Actor: Daniel Day Lewis. When Daniel Day Lewis was cast as Lincoln, before shooting began, voters wrote down his name. That’s how much of a lock he is. There is absolutely no contest. Which is a shame because Bradley Cooper had a really good performance in Silver Linings Playbook that could have won–much the same way Jack Nicholson won for As Good As It Gets. But no….this is all DDL, who might be the greatest living actor. This will make his third Best Actor award (My Left Foot, There Will Be Blood).
Best Picture: Argo. First, I thought it would be Les Mis but then that film’s reception wasn’t great. Then I thought it would be Lincoln. Then I thought Zero Dark Thirty. Then I thought Lincoln again. Then I Argo started winning all the awards. Golden Globe, Director’s Guild, and Screen Actors Guild (I believer) all went to Argo. That is a ton of momentum and I would think a bit of a surprise. Lincoln is pure Oscar bait, but so is Argo. It sure looks like Argo is going to take it with Lincoln its only competition. And hey…how about that Ben Affleck huh? Gone Baby Gone, The Town, Argo. who would have thought….
The Rest:
Best Animated Film: Wreck It Ralph
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi (but i wish Skyfall would win)
Best Costume Design: Les Mis
Best Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man (sounds like a bad porno)
Best Documentary Short: Redemption (everyone likes redemption stories right?)
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Makeup: Les Mis
Best Music (Original Score): Life of Pi (complete guess. plus I’ve never seen John Williams win)
Best Music (Original Song): Skyfall (a lock. had this stuck in my head for days after seeing the movie)
Best Production Design: Life of Pi (i suppose…might as well roll with it)
Best Short Film (Animated): Adam and Dog
Best Short Film (Live Action): Death of a Shadow (because it sounds cool)
Best Sound Editing: Argo
Best Sound Mixing: Argo (i kinda wanna pick Skyfall for both sound categories but going with my best pic)
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi (even though I want Promotheus to win something)
Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay): Argo
Best Writing (Original Screenplay): Django Unchained
There you have it. All my well thought out predictions. As for the contest, the winner gets nothing except satisfaction. What kind of satisfaction? I don’t know. maybe they will buy themselves a Snickers bar as a reward. But they get nothing from me. Good luck everyone!
New DE - http://thepwe.com/fanposts/the-rg-arena-isnt-a-room/
Lillard no likey the Hickson: http://media.oregonlive.com/oregonian/photo/2013/02/12348508-essay.jpg
@skywaker9 (David) WHY U DISRESPECT WOMEN JJ?? DAMIAN NO LIKE!!
That was a good loss.
https://twitter.com/jwquick/status/307019615668674560
https://twitter.com/jwquick/status/307019800335486976
I wonder if he's hard on Meyers because he's trying to set high expectations or he's just really frustrating to coach. Maybe both?
@TiMB I still think he may be dumb, and I'm starting to think he may be a bit of an ass, too.
@Dan_tm @TiMB I've heard both of these things from others.
@dj idoltime @TiMB Good enough for me. FACTS.
babbitt had an assist and a rebound in 0 minutes according to espn's box. that's infinite per minute production.
@christopher_m That's my guy.
@Dan_tm in limited (read, no) minutes he can be very effective.
@Dan_tm @christopher_m id put my money that the timberwolves would go after him
@christopher_m Memphis will be after him this summer.
we need a new DE
. @brandonmitchell I won't say it.
@brandonmitchell rection.
UCLA-ASU in OT. Shabazz having a nice game.
iguodala with 29/8/7/5.
@christopher_m Only stat stuffing loser fans would take that over10/6/9/5/3
@TiMB batum had 9 dimes, nice.
54 points and you can't even win the game, Steph? #statstuffingloser
I don't know about the rest of you but even liking Chandler a bunch, I never figured he'd become this good.
warrilolrs
Wouldn't have noticed if it wasn't for Barb but....holy hell Tyson's line! Might be more insane/rare than Steph's.
@TiMB here it is. http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/198702260WSB.html
@TiMB he only had 19 rebounds. disappointing. could have been so round.
@christopher_m So nice when someone does the work for you : P
@TiMB on TBJ today (or around today) they were talking about Manute Bol's line of like 10-20-15 (BLOCKS).
@christopher_m OK I gotta go find that.
Take that back - https://twitter.com/gswstats/status/306970430546259968
Monta had an interesting line tonight. Think the Dubs made the right choice though.
Asik threw up a casual 16/22 line tonight too. Just bonkers statistical performances all round the league. Maybe LeBron's 40/16 inspired them.
Haha I've seen that shot from Felton before.
Lol the dubs are just sagging hard off Felton and having him shoot 3's. Of course he's bricking them.
Crap, since posting this Fatcakes has made two solid defensive plays.
Then he misses two late free throws only to get the rebound.
haralabob
Mike James is playing 13 mins a game in the NBA for a team that won't shave till they get above .500. This is really happening.
@jakesnake99 Mike James is still in the NBA? But why?
Can we start comparing Lillard to Steph again? I want him to be Steph. Pretty please?
http://nba.si.com/2013/02/27/wizards-announcer-dagger-blows-call-trevor-ariza-game-winner-air-ball-pistons/
@jakesnake99 My takeaway from this is that Ariza sucks.
@Dan_tm @jakesnake99 If he hadn't killed Rudy, add him to the bench of TiMB's super dream Blazer team
@Dan_tm @jakesnake99 I think it'd be worth it for having people shout Ruuuuuudy and have them say uno dos tres everytime he makes a 3.
@dj idoltime @jakesnake99 I'm surprised you'd want a wing player with such terrible efficiency.
@jakesnake99 Why do you hate me?
I just hope Hickson is our first big off the bench
@jakesnake99 That's hilarious
Kings crush Orlando and take Miami to double overtime last night. I know it's only been a few games but if they keep playing better since the ThRob trade is it possible we overlooked the possibility of them just hating playing with him?
@HarrisDave PPatt is better right now and a better fit so I'm not surprised they're better. TRob only played 16 minutes a game though, so I'm not buying that he was holding them back that much. Only a third of the game so even if they hated playing with him, they didn't have to do it much.
@HarrisDave I don't think he played enough (minutes, usage, etc.) to really have a big impact on wins and losses.
@Norsktroll I'm not talking just about on-court. He could have been a cancer off court and lead to a (more?) toxic environment where people didn't enjoy being there. I've played with players like that before and it didn't matter if they played or not, I hated being around them.
@Dan_tm @HarrisDave Yeah, you should really hope Lindsay doesn't show up, HD. She'll tear you a new one for suggesting TRob is anything but a saint.
@HarrisDave @TiMB Did you not read the story about his family and his sister? You should read it. But have some kleenex handy. Sad tissues, btw. Not happy tissues.
@TiMB Ok. Again I don't know anything about him off court so I'll buy it.
@HarrisDave That wouldn't match up to anything I've read about TRob. Everything about him off-court is unerringly positive. If anything I can imagine he annoyed Reke/Cousins etc by making them look lazy.
..which can have effects on win-loss.
Idk much about Robinson as a person but his "if we go off numbers I should be the top pick" stuff always came off to me as a bit on the arrogant side. It's possible he was a bit of a cancer on that team.